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jhanvi001

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bthahir

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evolovik26
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Joined: 15 Aug 2007
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greg1

Joined: 29 Jan 2008
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michelle
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gmakerley
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Joined: 09 Nov 2007
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Posted: Tue Jan 29, 2008 3:03 pm Post subject:
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good post, greg. having worked in the mortgage industry for quite a few years, and having been on pretty much all sides, i can certainly agree that most everyone must shoulder some of the blame.
mortgage companies, etc. saw profit ($$$$) in expanding the criteria by which potential borrowers were qualified, and many more people were approved who had little business buying homes. of course, the limited documentation situation brought a lot of other people into the mix who had no business at all in the mortgage market.
as profits went up, of course, lenders continued to expand their product lines. consumers were happy because they could buy homes they never had previously dreamt were possible to buy.
the subprime market enabled even more unqualified people to become homeowners; in order to compensate for risk, these loans were priced higher and with more penalties and adjustments etc.
suddenly in late 2006 entering 2007, things began to crumble among those ill-equipped borrowers. delinquencies forced lenders to take new steps to save themselves, products got cut off, rates got adjusted much higher than the original rates had been, companies began to fold, some locales had severe value changes, and on and on and on...and now here we are in 2008 with a "credit crisis."
i think things are not as bad as they seem, and that we need to tell chicken little to go away and stop trying to scare us all. interest rates are down now, prices are down in many places, and people are (i hope) more aware of what they need to do in order to qualify for a mortgage.
because of the shakeout in the industry, lenders are generally going to be more receptive to work with people to ensure their qualifications rather than using the old spaghetti method - throw it against the wall and see if it sticks.
what the public needs to do is to be intentional when shopping around for a lender, a realtor, an attorney, etc. gaining education so that one can make a reasoned and reasonable choice in finding the above people will make all the difference. there are plenty of us in this industry who are honest, forthright and intelligent, willing to work with clients who are willing to do what they need to do to qualify (yes, i did say "us").
'nuf said for now, but i am convinced that 2008 will be good to many people. _________________ George M. Akerley
Mortgage Underwriter/Consultant
Word of Excellence- Writing/Editing/Proofreading
860-221-5044
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bigmac
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Posted: Tue Jan 29, 2008 3:47 pm Post subject: Whose to blame?
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As a couple who have been careful to manage our finances and not get into more debt than we could afford, we are appalled at how people could take out loans for homes that they could not afford. Our mortgage is $1165 a month and we (my wife does tax returns) see people paying $3000 a month and more. What were people thinking?!
Now, for the legality side of it. A merchant has a higher bar to clear when it comes to legal matters during the course of their business transactions. And if they knowingly allowed false information, or did not do due diligence of information about an applicants finances, then they should be held accountable. The banks should be held accountable for passing off these bogus investment products. However, mostly they won't. Maybe some loan processors and brokers will be prosecuted, and maybe a bank will fail. Some CEO's will lose their jobs (Most CEO's will walk away with millions), but our Government is not interested in going after the culprits and they all just want this mess swept under the carpet.
I don't have a crystal ball... But I think we've just seen the tip of the crash. I don't trust a thing the mainstream media is telling us.
As far as people losing their homes to foreclosure, I feel for families being forced out of their homes. I feel for the children who will be displaced and feel the shame of their parents. However, we only have ourselves to blame. If you put your name on the dotted line you better know what you are getting into. Don't say afterward that you didn't know. And don't trust anyone. Read it for yourself. Look at the numbers. Ask questions. As the Russian saying goes, "Trust but verify".
If we had done a little more verifying (at all levels of the transactions) we wouldn't be in the situation we are now.
So I blame people for getting into too much debt and not understanding the ramifications of the contracts they were signing. I blame loan processors, mortgage companies and brokers for knowingly passing on false information and I blame banks for selling what they knew to be worthless securities on to investors.
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Caron
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Joined: 19 Jul 2005
Posts: 1519 Location: florida
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Jason1

Joined: 01 Jan 2008
Posts: 27 Location: El Dorado Hills, Ca
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Posted: Fri Feb 01, 2008 12:00 am Post subject: Optimistic Interjection
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There've been some excellent explanations for the fall-out. Simplified into one word, it was greed. Look a little deeper and you will find our culture has this strange feeling of a 'right of entitlement' coupled with poor impulse control. Blame lies on every level as there was greed on every level.
Typical scenarios:
The consumer - never satisfied with living within their means, immediate gratification, and lack of commitment to long-term goals.
The loan originator - caring more about ways to generate the most amount of income than what was the most appropriate solution for the consumer.
Real estate agents - pushing under-qualified buyers and pre-selling them into terrible loans, of which many agents were using themselves. Of course, many agents are now also finding themselves in foreclosure.
The broker/banker - wantonly hiring unethical originators as it provided maximum profits and arming their companies with mortgages in which ignorant people could sell and ignorant people could use.
The CEO's of publicly held companies - constantly pitching their performance spiels, constantly boasting enormous liquidity, constantly stressing the solidity of their company, driving their companies toward the brink of their own extinction.
Wall St. - seeing the insane profit wrapped in all things mortgage related blindly following trends and not looking for solid foundations. Analysts and economists ignoring the obvious Ponzi scheme. Believing only what they chose to believe and listening only to the reports that fit their hopes, leaving common sense by the wayside.
Foreign investors - following suit en masse.
The federal government - allowing lending institutions to offer programs to the masses that were truly designed for the few. Some of this country's greatest minds sit in positions of power with the FOMC. It is pathetic that the first public acknowledgement of potential trouble (the famous Greenspan micro-bubble speech) came at such a late stage. Adjustments to the Fed Funds and Discount rates were far too aggressive and only helped to fuel the potential for the fall-out.
Sure there were ethical industry professionals and responsible borrowers but it sure seemed like they were the minority.
Keep in mind, this isn't relegated to subprime. There are many products, including the option ARMS, 100% 'A' paper IO's, 100% first position 'Flex Saver' HELOCs, 100% LTV investor loans, etc., that are an enormous part of a bigger problem of which we've yet to really see the depth. This will ensure a great supply of inventory of REOs and Short Sales.
The optimism:
It was easy to foresee the problem and it is just as easy to see the benefit. There are now opportunities once again for buyers to enter the marketplace and purchase a home that is truly within their means. Many people watched on the sidelines with restraint. First time homebuyers may now buy homes for up to 50% less than what these home were selling just two years ago. It's a major buyer's market. Mortgage rates are once again nearing 40 year lows. Programs have become more restrictive and are forcing more vested interest from the consumer. This is a benefit for all parties involved. Shop for the best but don't worry about trying to time the market for the best rate and price, in five years you will look back and shake your head at how smart you were and how well you did. Now is a great time for owner occupied purchases and Q4 of '08 should be the best time for investors. Buying homes with long term goals in mind will provide greater rewards. Pay less attention to the mainstream media and pay more attention to seasoned industry professionals, sound judgment and reasoning.
I look forward to all of the great stories I will be hearing from people that will be thrilled they bought real estate in 2008-2009, as I've enjoyed listening to the stories of people that bought in 1996-1997.
Best regards, _________________ Jason Shapiro
http://QualityFunding.net
CA DRE Broker #01267009
My Two Cents With Interest... |
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sara
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Joined: 05 Jul 2006
Posts: 2645 Location: New Brunswick, New Jersey
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gmakerley
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Joined: 09 Nov 2007
Posts: 12357 Location: bloomfield, ct
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Posted: Fri Feb 01, 2008 8:04 am Post subject:
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jason, thank you for your reasoned and reasonable words.
yes, indeed, far too many people profited by the policies that are now dragging so many of them, and others, down today.
i am truly gratified to read your last two paragraphs, stating your optimism in what is next on the threshhold (in fact, already in place). i have been appalled by the media coverage of this "crisis," which has served to frighten and alarm so many consumers who otherwise might be ready to spring into action.
i am in agreement that this is the time that sound and thoughtful advice needs to be heeded. those of us who have been through the throes of financial struggles in the past (both personally and professionally) must make our voices heard above the chicken littles of the world and help to guide those most in need of encouragement.
the sky is not falling - in truth, it never has.
let's all move forward with confidence in what we know and what we are capable of doing. _________________ George M. Akerley
Mortgage Underwriter/Consultant
Word of Excellence- Writing/Editing/Proofreading
860-221-5044
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greg1

Joined: 29 Jan 2008
Posts: 76 Location: Chillicothe, OH
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livinginnky
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Joined: 08 Sep 2007
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gmakerley
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Joined: 09 Nov 2007
Posts: 12357 Location: bloomfield, ct
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